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Signs point to the trucking industry nearing the end of the current freight recession, with trucking revenue still high despite reduced demand. A market turnaround, however, is yet to be seen.
Although the trucking industry is facing a freight market recession, there are indicators that suggest it may be nearing the bottom of the downturn. Seasonally adjusted trucking ton-mile index, which implies freight demand, shows a minor rise of 0.6% from March to April 2023, yet is down 1.6% compared to April 2022. Despite this, trucking revenue remains elevated compared to pre-pandemic levels, suggesting that capacity isn't exiting as rapidly as expected. The near future likely sees the industry remaining in this trough without a significant shock event to stimulate demand.
Source: Jason Miller
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